Zero Waste to Landfill: Indonesia's Long-Term Vision for 2045
Indonesia's waste management policy framework is undergoing a profound transformation. While the immediate focus centers on achieving the 30 percent reduction and 70 percent handling targets by 2025 under PERPRES 97/2017, the nation's long-term trajectory points toward an even more ambitious goal: zero waste to landfill by 2045, coinciding with Indonesia's centennial anniversary. This vision represents a fundamental reimagining of how Indonesia manages its solid waste streams, moving from a disposal-centric model to a resource-recovery paradigm where waste becomes a strategic economic input rather than an environmental burden.
The zero landfill vision is not explicitly codified in a single regulation, but rather emerges from the cumulative trajectory of Indonesia's waste policy architecture. PERPRES 97/2017 establishes the 2025 baseline targets and strategic framework, PP 81/2012 mandates the transition from open dumping to sanitary landfills within five years of Law 18/2008's effectiveness, and various ministerial regulations set technical standards for waste-to-energy facilities and advanced recycling operations. Together, these instruments chart a clear path: incrementally reduce landfill dependence while building the technological and institutional infrastructure necessary for comprehensive resource recovery.
The 2045 target aligns with Indonesia's broader development aspirations. As the nation approaches its 100th year of independence, policymakers envision a circular economy where material flows are optimized, waste generation is minimized at source, and residual materials are systematically recovered and reprocessed. This vision requires not merely incremental improvements to existing waste management systems, but a wholesale transformation of production patterns, consumption behaviors, and end-of-life material management across all economic sectors.
The Foundation: PERPRES 97/2017 and the 2025 Milestone
Understanding Indonesia's zero landfill ambitions requires first examining the 2025 targets established in PERPRES 97/2017. Pasal 5 ayat (1) specifies two interconnected goals:
"pengurangan Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga sebesar 30% (tiga puluh persen) dari angka timbulan Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga sebelum adanya kebijakan dan strategi nasional pengurangan Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga di tahun 2025"
Translation: "reduction of Household Waste and Waste Similar to Household Waste by 30 percent from the baseline generation rate of Household Waste and Waste Similar to Household Waste before the existence of national reduction policies and strategies by the year 2025."
The second target addresses handling:
"penanganan Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga sebesar 70% (tujuh puluh persen) dari angka timbulan Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga sebelum adanya kebijakan dan strategi nasional penanganan Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga di tahun 2025"
Translation: "handling of Household Waste and Waste Similar to Household Waste by 70 percent from the baseline generation rate of Household Waste and Waste Similar to Household Waste before the existence of national handling policies and strategies by the year 2025."
These targets are critical because they establish quantifiable benchmarks against which progress can be measured. The 30 percent reduction target drives source reduction, reuse, and recycling initiatives, while the 70 percent handling target ensures that generated waste receives proper collection, transport, and processing rather than being abandoned in unauthorized dump sites or waterways.
From Open Dumping to Sanitary Landfills: The Intermediate Transition
PP 81/2012 establishes the regulatory framework for transitioning from open dumping practices to controlled and sanitary landfill operations. The regulation's explanatory memorandum explicitly acknowledges that Indonesia's waste management policy must shift from the decades-old "collect-transport-dump" paradigm to a "reduce at source and resource recycle" approach through comprehensive 3R implementation.
Pasal 22 ayat (1) of PP 81/2012 specifies three permissible methods for final waste processing:
"Pemrosesan akhir sampah sebagaimana dimaksud dalam Pasal 16 huruf e dilakukan dengan menggunakan: a. metode lahan urug terkendali; b. metode lahan urug saniter; dan/atau c. teknologi ramah lingkungan."
Translation: "Final waste processing as referred to in Article 16 letter e shall be carried out using: a. controlled landfill method; b. sanitary landfill method; and/or c. environmentally sound technology."
The controlled landfill method represents an interim step for municipalities transitioning from open dumping. Waste is spread, compacted, and covered with soil at least once every seven days. The sanitary landfill method requires daily covering and incorporates leachate collection systems, gas management infrastructure, and environmental monitoring protocols. The third option, environmentally sound technology, encompasses waste-to-energy facilities, advanced thermal treatment, and other processing systems that minimize or eliminate the need for land disposal.
This three-tier framework recognizes Indonesia's developmental realities. Not all municipalities can immediately implement sanitary landfill standards or invest in advanced waste-to-energy plants. The controlled landfill method provides a legally compliant pathway for gradual improvement while preventing the environmental and public health hazards associated with open dumping.
Technology Pathways Toward Zero Landfill
Achieving zero waste to landfill by 2045 depends fundamentally on deploying technologies capable of processing residual waste streams that cannot be recycled through conventional mechanical means. PERPRES 97/2017 Pasal 4 ayat (2) explicitly identifies technology deployment as a strategic priority:
"penerapan teknologi penanganan Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga yang ramah lingkungan dan tepat guna"
Translation: "application of environmentally sound and appropriate technology for handling Household Waste and Waste Similar to Household Waste."
Several technology categories are particularly relevant to Indonesia's zero landfill aspirations:
Waste-to-Energy (WTE) Systems: Thermal treatment technologies including combustion, gasification, and pyrolysis can process mixed waste streams, generating electricity or heat while drastically reducing material volumes. Indonesia has begun piloting large-scale WTE facilities in several major cities, though concerns about emission controls, ash management, and economic viability remain subjects of ongoing technical assessment.
Advanced Sorting and Recycling: Automated sorting systems using optical sensors, artificial intelligence, and robotic separation can recover recyclable materials from mixed waste streams with far greater efficiency than manual sorting. These systems are essential for maximizing material recovery rates and minimizing residual waste requiring disposal.
Biological Treatment: Composting and anaerobic digestion convert organic waste fractions into soil amendments and biogas. Given that organic materials constitute approximately 60 percent of Indonesia's municipal solid waste stream, scaling up biological treatment infrastructure is critical to reducing landfill reliance.
Chemical Recycling: Emerging technologies can break down plastics and other synthetic materials into chemical feedstocks for manufacturing new products, effectively closing material loops that conventional mechanical recycling cannot address.
The transition toward zero landfill does not require selecting a single technological pathway. Rather, Indonesia must develop an integrated portfolio of processing options tailored to different waste streams, geographic contexts, and economic circumstances.
Resource Recovery as Strategic Imperative
The zero landfill vision fundamentally reconceptualizes waste as a resource rather than a disposal problem. This philosophical shift is embedded in PP 81/2012 Pasal 2, which states:
"Pengaturan pengelolaan sampah ini bertujuan untuk: a. menjaga kelestarian fungsi lingkungan hidup dan kesehatan masyarakat; dan b. menjadikan sampah sebagai sumber daya."
Translation: "The regulation of waste management aims to: a. maintain the sustainability of environmental functions and public health; and b. make waste a resource."
This second objective, making waste a resource, drives the entire zero landfill agenda. When waste materials are systematically recovered and reprocessed, several strategic benefits accrue:
Economic Value Creation: Recovered materials displace virgin resource extraction, reducing import dependencies and creating domestic manufacturing feedstocks. The waste management sector itself generates employment in collection, sorting, processing, and remanufacturing activities.
Environmental Protection: Resource recovery reduces greenhouse gas emissions from landfill decomposition, prevents leachate contamination of groundwater, and decreases the environmental footprint of virgin material extraction and processing.
Energy Security: Waste-to-energy technologies convert organic materials into electricity, heat, or transportation fuels, diversifying Indonesia's energy portfolio and reducing fossil fuel dependence.
Land Conservation: As urban land becomes increasingly scarce and expensive, minimizing landfill requirements frees land for productive economic or conservation purposes.
The resource recovery paradigm requires coordination across multiple government agencies. The Ministry of Public Works oversees infrastructure development, the Ministry of Industry regulates recycling facilities and standards, the Ministry of Energy manages waste-to-energy projects, and the Ministry of Environment coordinates overall policy coherence. This institutional complexity underscores the need for strong inter-ministerial coordination mechanisms.
TPA Transformation Requirements
Existing tempat pemrosesan akhir (TPA) facilities play a critical role in Indonesia's transition toward zero landfill. PP 81/2012 Pasal 24 establishes technical operating standards and mandates closure or rehabilitation of facilities that fail to meet those standards:
"Dalam hal TPA tidak dioperasikan sesuai dengan persyaratan teknis sebagaimana dimaksud pada ayat (1), harus dilakukan penutupan dan/atau rehabilitasi."
Translation: "In the event that TPA is not operated in accordance with the technical requirements as referred to in paragraph (1), closure and/or rehabilitation must be carried out."
This provision creates legal mechanisms for phasing out substandard facilities. As municipalities develop alternative processing capacity through waste-to-energy plants, advanced recycling centers, and regional integrated waste management facilities, they can systematically close existing TPAs that fail environmental standards.
PERMENPUPR 3/2013 provides detailed technical specifications for TPA operations, including requirements for leachate collection and treatment, methane gas capture and utilization, groundwater monitoring, and post-closure maintenance. These standards ensure that even as TPAs are phased out, their environmental legacies are properly managed. Sites can be rehabilitated and repurposed for beneficial uses such as solar farms, recreational facilities, or green space.
The transformation timeline varies significantly across Indonesia's diverse geographic and economic contexts. Major metropolitan areas like Jakarta, Surabaya, and Bandung have greater resources and waste generation volumes that can support advanced processing technologies. These cities can transition more rapidly toward zero landfill operations. Smaller municipalities may require longer transition periods, with interim reliance on sanitary landfills meeting full environmental standards while gradually building alternative processing capacity.
International Precedents and Circular Economy Models
Indonesia's zero landfill vision aligns with global circular economy frameworks and international best practices. The European Union's Circular Economy Action Plan, for example, sets targets to reduce landfill disposal to 10 percent or less of municipal waste by 2035, with several member states already achieving near-zero landfill rates through comprehensive waste prevention, recycling, and energy recovery programs.
Japan's waste management system emphasizes the "3R Initiative" (reduce, reuse, recycle) supplemented by extensive waste-to-energy infrastructure. South Korea has achieved landfill diversion rates exceeding 90 percent through volume-based waste fee systems, comprehensive recycling programs, and mandatory food waste separation for composting or biogas production.
Singapore provides a particularly relevant model for Indonesia. With extremely limited land area, Singapore has aggressively minimized landfill requirements through high incineration rates (approximately 40 percent of waste) with energy recovery, comprehensive recycling programs (60 percent diversion rate), and innovative technologies. The Semakau Landfill, Singapore's only remaining facility, receives only incineration ash and non-incinerable waste, with projections suggesting decades of remaining capacity despite the city-state's dense population and high consumption levels.
These international examples demonstrate that zero or near-zero landfill systems are technically achievable given appropriate policy frameworks, infrastructure investments, public education, and enforcement mechanisms. Indonesia can adapt these approaches to its specific cultural, economic, and institutional contexts.
Regulatory Evolution Needed Beyond 2025
While PERPRES 97/2017 establishes the framework through 2025, achieving zero landfill by 2045 requires regulatory evolution across several dimensions:
Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR): Comprehensive EPR regulations must mandate that manufacturers and importers take financial and operational responsibility for end-of-life management of their products and packaging. This shifts waste management costs from municipal budgets to producers, creating market incentives for designing products that are easier to recycle or reuse.
Performance-Based Standards: Rather than prescriptive technology mandates, future regulations should establish outcome-based standards (e.g., maximum landfill disposal rates per capita) allowing municipalities and private operators flexibility in selecting appropriate technological solutions.
Material-Specific Recycling Targets: Separate recycling or recovery targets for plastics, metals, glass, organics, and other material categories can drive investment in specialized processing infrastructure and prevent recyclable materials from entering landfills.
Landfill Bans: Phased prohibitions on landfilling specific high-value or easily recoverable materials (organic waste, recyclable plastics, metals, electronic waste) can accelerate the development of alternative processing capacity.
Economic Instruments: Landfill taxes or fees that increase over time create financial incentives for waste reduction and diversion while generating revenue for infrastructure investments in recycling and alternative processing technologies.
Technical Standards for New Technologies: As waste-to-energy, chemical recycling, and other emerging technologies mature, Indonesia must develop appropriate environmental and operational standards ensuring these systems provide genuine environmental benefits without creating new pollution problems.
The regulatory development process must be iterative and adaptive. Initial targets and requirements should be calibrated to avoid overwhelming municipalities or industries, with scheduled reviews allowing standards to tighten as technical capacity improves and costs decline.
Implementation Challenges and Barriers
The pathway from Indonesia's current waste management reality to zero landfill by 2045 faces substantial obstacles:
Infrastructure Investment Requirements: Building the processing facilities, collection systems, and supporting infrastructure for zero landfill operations requires capital investments potentially running into hundreds of billions of rupiah. Securing financing, particularly for smaller municipalities with limited fiscal capacity, represents a major challenge.
Institutional Capacity: Many kabupaten/kota governments lack technical staff with expertise in advanced waste management technologies, contract management for public-private partnerships, or environmental monitoring. Building this capacity requires sustained investment in training and professional development.
Public Behavior Change: Zero landfill systems depend on source separation of waste streams by households and businesses. Achieving high participation rates in sorting programs requires extensive public education, convenient collection systems, and, potentially, economic incentives or penalties.
Land Acquisition: Developing new processing facilities requires securing suitable sites, often facing opposition from nearby residents concerned about odors, traffic, or property value impacts. Transparent siting processes and genuine community engagement are essential but time-consuming.
Technology Lock-In Risks: Significant investments in particular technologies (e.g., large-scale waste-to-energy plants) can create path dependencies, potentially hindering adoption of superior technologies that emerge later. Policy frameworks must balance the need for investment certainty with flexibility to incorporate innovation.
Informal Sector Integration: Indonesia's waste management system includes substantial informal collection and recycling activities employing hundreds of thousands of people. Formalizing and integrating these workers into modernized systems, while protecting their livelihoods, requires careful policy design and social protections.
Addressing these challenges requires coordinated action across government levels, sustained political commitment, adequate financing, and genuine partnerships with civil society and the private sector.
Monitoring, Verification, and Adaptive Management
PERPRES 97/2017 establishes monitoring and evaluation requirements for tracking progress toward national waste management targets. Pasal 10 specifies indicators for measuring reduction performance:
"Capaian pengurangan Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga sebagaimana dimaksud pada ayat (1) diukur dengan indikator: a. besaran penurunan jumlah timbulan Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga per kapita; b. besaran peningkatan jumlah Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga yang terdaur ulang di Sumber Sampah; dan c. besaran peningkatan jumlah Sampah Rumah Tangga dan Sampah Sejenis Sampah Rumah Tangga yang termanfaatkan kembali di Sumber Sampah."
Translation: "Achievement of Household Waste and Waste Similar to Household Waste reduction as referred to in paragraph (1) is measured by indicators: a. magnitude of decrease in per capita generation of Household Waste and Waste Similar to Household Waste; b. magnitude of increase in the amount of Household Waste and Waste Similar to Household Waste recycled at the Waste Source; and c. magnitude of increase in the amount of Household Waste and Waste Similar to Household Waste reused at the Waste Source."
For handling performance, Pasal 10 ayat (3) establishes complementary indicators tracking waste collection coverage, transport volumes to processing facilities versus landfills, material recovery rates, and residual waste requiring final disposal.
These metrics provide the foundation for tracking progress toward zero landfill. As the 2045 target approaches, additional indicators may include:
- Percentage of municipal waste generation diverted from landfills
- Landfill disposal rates per capita (kg/person/year)
- Material-specific recovery rates for major waste streams
- Energy recovery from waste as percentage of total waste management
- Greenhouse gas emission reductions from improved waste management
- Investment in waste management infrastructure as percentage of municipal budgets
Transparent public reporting of these metrics creates accountability and enables evidence-based policy adjustments. If particular strategies prove ineffective or certain regions lag in implementation, policymakers can identify problems and redirect resources or modify approaches.
The Role of Technological Innovation
While current technologies can support significant progress toward zero landfill, achieving the 2045 target may depend on innovations not yet widely commercialized. Several emerging technological domains show particular promise:
Advanced Materials Sorting: Machine learning systems that can identify and sort materials with extremely high precision, potentially recovering resources from complex mixed-material products currently considered unrecyclable.
Biological Processing Optimization: Engineered microbial systems designed to accelerate composting, enhance biogas yields, or break down recalcitrant organic compounds more efficiently than conventional biological treatment.
Distributed Processing Systems: Smaller-scale, modular waste processing technologies that can be deployed cost-effectively in lower-density areas where centralized facilities are economically unviable.
Blockchain for Waste Tracking: Distributed ledger technologies enabling transparent tracking of waste flows from generation through final processing, supporting EPR implementation and preventing illegal dumping or export.
Alternative Material Production: Technologies converting waste streams directly into construction materials, chemical feedstocks, or other high-value products, bypassing traditional recycling processes.
Indonesia's research and development infrastructure, including universities, national laboratories, and private sector innovation programs, should prioritize waste management technologies. Government procurement policies can provide early markets for innovative solutions, reducing commercialization risks and accelerating deployment.
Financing the Transition
The financial requirements for Indonesia's zero landfill transition span several categories:
Capital Investment: Construction of new processing facilities, collection vehicles, transfer stations, sorting facilities, and supporting infrastructure requires substantial upfront capital, potentially financed through municipal bonds, development bank loans, or public-private partnerships.
Operating Costs: Sophisticated waste management systems have higher operating costs than simple landfilling, though these can be partially offset by revenue from recovered materials and energy. Sustainable financing requires adequate user fees, government subsidies, or revenue-sharing arrangements.
Capacity Building: Training programs, technical assistance, planning studies, and institutional development require dedicated funding streams, potentially supported by national government transfers or international development assistance.
Transition Costs: Closing and rehabilitating existing landfills, relocating informal sector workers into formal employment, and addressing legacy contamination from past disposal practices involve one-time transition expenses that must be anticipated and budgeted.
Creative financing mechanisms can help distribute these costs across multiple beneficiaries. Extended producer responsibility fees on products and packaging can fund collection and recycling infrastructure. Landfill taxes can create funding pools for alternative processing facilities. Green bonds can access capital markets willing to finance environmentally beneficial infrastructure. International climate finance can support projects reducing greenhouse gas emissions from waste management.
The key financial principle is ensuring that waste management costs are borne by waste generators in proportion to the amount and type of waste they produce. This creates appropriate incentives for waste reduction while generating revenue for system operations.
From Vision to Reality: The 2025-2045 Pathway
The journey from the 2025 Jakstranas targets to zero landfill by 2045 can be conceptualized in five-year planning cycles:
2025-2030: Focus on meeting and exceeding the initial 30 percent reduction and 70 percent handling targets. Major cities deploy first-generation waste-to-energy facilities. EPR frameworks for packaging and electronics are fully implemented. Public awareness campaigns drive behavioral change around waste sorting.
2030-2035: Expand advanced recycling infrastructure to mid-sized cities. Landfill bans on organic waste and easily recyclable materials take effect in metropolitan areas. Chemical recycling and advanced biological treatment technologies scale up. Per capita waste generation begins declining due to circular economy policies.
2035-2040: Near-universal coverage of comprehensive waste collection and processing systems. Remaining landfills operate only as contingency capacity for emergency situations or specialized waste streams. Most municipalities achieve 90+ percent diversion rates. Indonesia becomes regional hub for waste management technology and expertise.
2040-2045: Final transition to zero new waste to landfill, with existing landfill sites in rehabilitation phase. All municipalities operating comprehensive material recovery and energy conversion systems. Remaining residual waste processed through advanced thermal or chemical conversion. Indonesia achieves circular economy for material flows.
This phased approach recognizes that transformation occurs gradually, building on successive achievements while maintaining flexibility to adapt as technologies evolve and institutional capacities strengthen.
Conclusion: A Transformational Journey
Indonesia's vision of zero waste to landfill by 2045 represents one of the most ambitious waste management goals in the developing world. Achieving this target requires fundamental transformation across technological, institutional, regulatory, and social dimensions. The pathway will not be smooth or linear; setbacks and challenges are inevitable in any undertaking of this magnitude.
Yet the vision is achievable. Indonesia possesses the technical knowledge, institutional frameworks, and policy foundations necessary for success. PERPRES 97/2017 establishes clear near-term targets and strategic priorities. PP 81/2012 provides the regulatory architecture for transitioning from open dumping to controlled disposal and ultimately to comprehensive resource recovery. Ministerial regulations establish technical standards for advanced waste processing technologies.
What remains is sustained political commitment, adequate financial investment, genuine multi-stakeholder collaboration, and recognition that waste management is not merely a technical service but a cornerstone of sustainable development. As Indonesia approaches its centennial in 2045, achieving zero landfill would demonstrate that economic prosperity and environmental stewardship can advance in tandem, providing a model for other nations facing similar waste management challenges.
The regulatory foundation exists. The technological pathways are clear. The environmental and economic imperative is undeniable. Now comes the sustained implementation effort that will determine whether Indonesia's zero landfill vision becomes reality or remains an aspirational goal. The decisions made in the coming years, the investments prioritized, the policies enforced, and the behaviors changed will collectively determine the outcome. For a nation of Indonesia's size, diversity, and development stage, success would represent a genuine transformation in how human societies manage their material flows, moving from a linear take-make-waste economy toward a truly circular system where waste becomes not a problem to be disposed of, but a resource to be valued and recovered.
Official Source: https://peraturan.bpk.go.id/Details/73225 (PERPRES 97/2017)
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